Does the bitcoin halving still move the price?

What this video covers

A timeline of the four bitcoin halvings, the April 2024 reward cut and the price path that followed in FRED Coinbase data. Why four cycles are too small a sample to treat the halving as a signal.

Sources and the longer explanation: Does the Bitcoin Halving Still Affect the Price?.

Numbers shown on screen

• Halving
• $124,720
• 21 million: Maximum bitcoin supply

How the visuals were made

In 0:47 the video moves through 6 scenes, including a timeline: 2012 – first halving; 2016 – second; 2020 – third; Apr 2024 – fourth; ~2028 – next, expected; a worked formula card (6.25 BTC ÷ 2 = 3.125 BTC); an animated line chart, “Bitcoin, USD, since 2023”, drawn from FRED series CBBTCUSD from 2023-01; a checklist, “Why it is not a reliable signal”. All graphics were rendered frame by frame by UXS; no stock footage, logos or faces are used.

Chapters

• 0:00 Bitcoin halvings
• 0:10 Block reward, April 2024 halving
• 0:18 Bitcoin, USD, since 2023
• 0:30 Why it is not a reliable signal
• 0:36 Maximum bitcoin supply
• 0:43 Risk note

Transcript

The halving cuts the new-coin reward in half, roughly every four years: 2012, 2016, 2020 and April 2024.

In 2024, the reward per block fell from 6.25 to 3.125 bitcoin.

Bitcoin peaked at $124,720 about 18 months later, then fell to $75,091 by November 9, 2026.

But four cycles is a tiny sample, and rates, liquidity and ETF flows now move bitcoin too.

Most of the 21 million coins already exist, so each halving changes total supply less than the one before.

Educational only, not financial advice.